Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.191873 3.741058 4.326363 4.993484 5.729661 6.514209 7.410452
2024-10-20 2.392558 3.143141 4.004125 5.051351 6.277195 7.653739 9.303138
2024-10-27 1.771211 2.607186 3.636527 4.964865 6.601300 8.520392 10.909192
2024-11-03 1.413036 2.311020 3.489187 5.088170 7.141879 9.633952 12.827510
2024-11-10 1.131616 2.053873 3.339744 5.167236 7.602296 10.644668 14.639229
2024-11-17 0.862194 1.754608 3.081965 5.058886 7.789762 11.298174 16.010282
2024-11-24 0.649514 1.492659 2.832633 4.921965 7.908229 11.844551 17.240740
2024-12-01 0.506462 1.311191 2.672708 4.885435 8.143909 12.534433 18.657708
2024-12-08 0.388674 1.144055 2.507774 4.817231 8.317533 13.132773 19.956645
2024-12-15 0.339507 1.099721 2.537856 5.043982 8.917229 14.319655 22.056594
2024-12-22 0.272897 0.999101 2.454666 5.079409 9.229698 15.111485 23.636549
2024-12-29 0.245414 0.981420 2.517363 5.351877 9.902286 16.418707 25.937323
2025-01-05 0.212133 0.942393 2.539068 5.563369 10.500526 17.651897 28.186522
2025-01-12 0.172631 0.873476 2.493439 5.655614 10.916985 18.636017 30.113966
2025-01-19 0.127455 0.767823 2.356993 5.576187 11.056525 19.219715 31.492571
2025-01-26 0.105152 0.724988 2.345846 5.716880 11.547945 20.324548 33.618955
2025-02-02 0.083910 0.674598 2.309666 5.806049 11.954688 21.308653 35.586108
2025-02-09 0.057976 0.586459 2.171217 5.690039 12.015307 21.773547 36.816330
2025-02-16 0.037653 0.502147 2.024344 5.542051 12.010535 22.133177 37.894625
2025-02-23 0.025584 0.446113 1.937322 5.502708 12.183921 22.762671 39.368889
2025-03-02 0.016128 0.390292 1.838422 5.428726 12.290579 23.287246 40.693615
2025-03-09 0.013787 0.388025 1.891455 5.675257 12.965252 24.705116 43.349999
2025-03-16 0.009263 0.355504 1.848859 5.713778 13.270725 25.549075 45.167598